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LVMH Q3 2025: A Long-Awaited Turn Sparks a Luxury Rally

LVMH Q3 2025: A Long-Awaited Turn Sparks a Luxury Rally

Key takeaways

  • Organic sales returned to growth in Q3, up roughly ~1% YoY, modestly ahead of muted expectations.
  • Nine-month revenue reached €58.1bn.
  • Fashion & Leather Goods declined about ~2% YoY, but trends improved sequentially; Selective Retailing (Sephora) grew around ~7% and remained the standout.
  • The stock jumped ~12–13% today as investors read the print as a bottoming signal for global luxury.

Table of Contents

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  • Results snapshot
  • Market reaction
  • Read-through and outlook
  • Conclusion
  • FAQ
  • Disclaimer

Results snapshot

After several soft quarters, LVMH posted a small but symbolically important return to growth in Q3. Group organic revenue edged up roughly 1% year over year. Momentum remained uneven by category: Fashion & Leather Goods—home to Louis Vuitton and Dior—was still negative at about −2% but showed clear sequential improvement versus the first half. Beauty and retail continued to do the heavy lifting: Selective Retailing, driven by Sephora’s strong traffic and productivity, advanced about 7%.

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Geographically, Asia ex-Japan (including mainland China) ticked back to low single-digit growth, the U.S. showed modest gains, and Europe lagged on softer tourist flows. Management’s nine-month update put total revenue at €58.1bn, noting resilient local demand and improving trends into the quarter.

Market reaction

Shares surged roughly 12–13% today, leading a relief rally across European luxury peers. Beyond the headline beat, investors latched onto improving China signals, Sephora’s durability, and the idea that the worst of the de-stocking and aspirational demand softness may be behind the sector heading into the holiday quarter.

Read-through and outlook

  • Quality of beat: Narrow but meaningful; it resets sentiment after a string of disappointments.
  • Category mix: Beauty/retail strength continues to cushion leather-goods softness. Any acceleration at LV/Dior would unlock the next leg for earnings.
  • Geography: Early stabilization in China is the swing factor. Sustained improvement there—and continued U.S. resilience—will determine whether Q4 prints confirm a true inflection.
  • Risks: Macro sensitivity (China property, U.S./EU consumer), FX headwinds, and execution in core leather goods if high-ticket demand remains uneven.

Conclusion

LVMH delivered the “small but decisive” turn the market was waiting for: a return to positive growth, better signals out of China, and continued outperformance from Sephora. It isn’t a full-blown rebound yet, but it materially improves the risk/reward into the holiday season. Watch for confirmation via leather-goods momentum and regional demand durability in Q4.

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FAQ

What grew and what didn’t?
Group organic sales rose ~1% YoY. Selective Retailing (Sephora) led with ~7% growth; Fashion & Leather Goods fell ~2% but improved versus earlier in the year.

How did China perform?
Asia ex-Japan, including China, returned to low single-digit growth—an improvement from the first half.

Why did the stock jump so much today?
The combination of a modest beat, a turn back to growth, and better China commentary eased fears of a deeper luxury slowdown, sparking a sector-wide relief rally.

What is the year-to-date revenue figure?
Nine-month revenue stands at €58.1bn.

What should investors watch next?
Holiday sell-through, leather-goods order books at LV/Dior, Sephora’s traffic and basket trends, and any further stabilization in China.


Disclaimer

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. All figures reflect the company’s latest reported data as of October 15, 2025 (Europe/Berlin) and may change without notice. Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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